"Wins To Watch" refers to when the team's player wins three matches out of their next eight domestic ties (starting the 30th of September) the player will receive an additional one-time stat upgrade similar to another in-form FIFA 23 Coins. Thus, if Man City win 3/8 games, Haaland gets another +1 over and above in-form updates the player receives. (Lol 'if'.)

Nations to Watch means that any player who has a Ones to Watch card whose country is involved within the World Cup will receive a one-off in-form upgrade if their team win a game at the World Cup. The Erlings are having a difficult time on this front, it appears due to Norway's inability to participate. ('Tough times for Erling' is not something we expect to write on many other occasions this year/decade/millennium.)

The best part is that Nations to Watch players don't need to be picked as a member of their national team to get the upgrade. So even if Gabriel Jesus somehow doesn't make the Brazil squad and his countrymen score a win out in Qatar, the Arsenal player will still earn an additional +1.

Also, it's worth mentioning it is important to note that Ones to Watch players do not receive upgrades in conjunction with other promotional cards. In other words, if Tyler Adams gets some sort of wild 90+ card in April , in the form of a new promotion called Factsmashers or whatever you're looking at, his OTW will not be upgraded in line with the promo. (Sorry Tyler. If this makes you feel better, you are in practically everyone's pre-order OTW bundle.)

The unusual market for transfers of last year's behaviour meant that it was often practical and affordable to add good promo players to one's team even within a couple of days of when they were announced. It could still be the case for FIFA 23, but for now the best Ones to Watch players are likely cost you a massive price cheap FUT 23 Coins. As they've received no improvements at all so it's difficult to suggest spending coins on them.